Wall Street Signal

US stock market returns – what is in store? » Investment Postcards from Cape Town

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Based on a multi-year comparison of the price-earnings (PE) ratios of the S&P 500 Index and the forward real returns, investors should be aware of the fact that the stock market is by historical standards not in…

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Words from the (investment) wise for the week that was (Feb 18 – 24, 2008) » Investment Postcards from Cape Town

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Investors had to stomach another roller-coaster ride last week as mounting concerns about a recessionary US economy and the implications for global growth and corporate earnings continued to weigh on sentiment. Read all…

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Picture du Jour: Commodities – Too Much Too Quickly?

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Can money trees in fact grow to heaven? It was certainly beginning to look that way when considering the frenzied surge of many commodities to new highs week after week. But the past few days have seen commodity prices…

A $1 million wager for gold bears » Investment Postcards from Cape Town

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Gold bullion is under water at the moment with the price having dived sharply over the past two weeks. This move has triggered a myriad opinions ranging from the end of gold’s 7-year bull market to a mere healthy…

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Picture du Jour: US Long Bonds in Injury Time

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What is the outlook for US bonds, especially as yields have edged up since their recent lows? Considering both technical and fundamental factors, I conclude that continued base formation is likely, but that long-dated…